- #2022 midterm elections predictions update
- #2022 midterm elections predictions full
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#2022 midterm elections predictions update
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#2022 midterm elections predictions full
Most voters still believe “fake news” is a serious problem, and don’t trust the political news they get from the media.Īdditional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.
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Republicans lead by 11 points, 50%-39%, among voters with incomes between $30,000 and $50,000 a year, while Democrats have a seven-point advantage, 49% to 42%, among voters with annual incomes above $200,000.Ī majority of American voters believe the federal Department of Justice’s investigation of former President Donald Trump is politically motivated, but most of them still approve of the investigation. Retirees support Republicans over Democrats by a 15-point margin, 54% to 39%, and the GOP has a six-point lead (46%-40%) among private sector workers, while government employees favor Democrats by 10 points, 49%-39%. Voters under 40 favor Democrats by an 11-point margin, 48% to 37%, but voters ages 40-64 favor Republicans 52% to 38%, and the GOP lead is eight points – 50% to 42% – among voters 65 and older. The so-called “gender gap” has widened in the latest findings, with men (52%) now 10 points more likely than women voters (42%) to prefer Republican congressional candidates.
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Sixty-two percent (62%) of black voters, 38% of whites and 42% of other minorities would vote Democrat. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 42% would vote Republican and 32% would vote Democrat, while nine percent (9%) would vote for some other candidate and 17% are undecided.įifty-one percent (51%) of whites, 27% of black voters and 46% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today. Eighty-six percent (86%) of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, while 80% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. The Republican lead is mainly due to a 10-point advantage among independent voters. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Likely Voters was conducted on August 21-25, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
#2022 midterm elections predictions free
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls). As the November 2018 midterms neared, the margin was a statistical dead heat – Republicans 46%, Democrats 45% – in the final poll before Democrats won a slim House majority while Republicans gained Senate seats to maintain control of that chamber. In August 2018, before voters handed Democrats their first House majority in eight years, Democrats held a five-point advantage (46% to 41%) in the generic ballot question.
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Eastern until the midterm elections in November. Rasmussen Reports is updating the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Fridays at 10:30 a.m.